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Old 02-18-2008, 03:03 AM   #143
The Missing Link
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Shadow_Kirby View Post
Hmmm.... Yes. Your last post before ^ one was a little under 30 Hours ago...

If we played odds-makers, I think the odds are in anyone's favor in being townie three times in a row. I'll have to check, but for now:
*puts on his mathematician hat*

Time out. Let me be perfectly frank here. This argument is completely flawed. The reason why is because the decision of who is and who isn't Mafia is independent of the results of previous rounds. In other words, just because someone hasn't been Mafia doesn't mean that they suddenly have a greater chance of being Mafia in the next round. In other words, Shadow Kirby, you have the same odds of being Mafia this round as S1x does.

As I recall, we went through this argument before. Back in Round II. I remember being the one to bring it up.

FoS: Shadow Kirby
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