National Dunce Day Discussion Thread

Discussion in 'Politics, Philosophy, and Religion' started by I am nobody, Nov 7, 2016.

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    I am nobody

    I am nobody I am not mean spam Staff Member

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    No, really.

    The other thread is way past 25 pages and was only supposed to be about the primaries, anyway. Time for a new one to take us to somebody's inauguration.

    Anyway, some people have put together odds for that other thing happening tomorrow. Here's a summary per NYT:

    NYT: 84% Clinton
    FiveThirtyEight: 69.8% Clinton
    Huffington Post: 98% Clinton
    PredictWise: 89% Clinton
    Princeton Election Consortium >99% Clinton
    Daily Kos 88% Clinton
    Cook Political Likely and stronger results give Clinton 278-214 with 46 tossup votes not mattering
    Rothenberg & Gonzales 323-197 with 18 tossup (Ohio) not mattering. 60 votes are considered "tilt/tossup" for Dems and 17 are the same for Republicans.
    UVA Center for Politics 322-216 with no tossups.

    Most places are expecting Clinton to win the popular vote by about 3%.

    Meanwhile, the impressively exact consensus on the Senate is that it's basically a tossup, and that the single most likely result is a 50-50 split broken by the VP. PredictWise seemed to be the only one tracking the House, and they expect (rather, betting markets expect) that the GOP will almost certainly retain a majority.

    We'll know for sure one way or the other in 24 and a bit hours. Probably.
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    Sim Kid

    Sim Kid Well-Known Member

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    Seems business as usual. People once again won't vote out any obstructionists.
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    X-3

    X-3 The Wurst Member Staff Member

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    Last edited: Nov 7, 2016
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    Calamity Panfan

    Calamity Panfan CERO MIEDO Staff Member

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    i just hope we all die soon
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    I REALLY HATE POKEMON!

    I REALLY HATE POKEMON! Goku lives on the Sun

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    That'd be satisfactory.
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    Shane

    Shane Administrator Staff Member

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    Trump seems to be the underdog, which reasonably had to be expected, but he has a narrow path to victory. RCP no toss ups map spells it out with one state need to turn. Unless he can flip something like PA, the margin for error may be close to 0.

    The other polls show people get what they deserve. Congressional approval hovers in the teens and the country is on the wrong track 2:1, so let's do what we have been doing. Congress sucks. But not my Congressman. It must be yours.
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    The Amazing Tazy Ten

    The Amazing Tazy Ten Happy Dingergisbar! Supporter

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    Expect whoever gets elected to be a terrible blowhard. They're different kinds of blowhard but that doesn't change the fact that this a wash. Both Hillary and Trump have proven in the past that they don't have a problem screwing over the average citizen to pursue their own interests whatever they may be. So if this election bothered you in any way my only advice is to get ready for what's to come.

    Also, if you really don't handle political discourse well I'd recommend leaving the Internet alone for about a week. Stay up to date on events if you want but Social Media is going to boil over. Just a word of warning.
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    Shane

    Shane Administrator Staff Member

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    Yesterday a science YouTube channel I subscribe to did a video about why to vote for Clinton. Dude, I really don't care what you think about politics. You're supposed to do science videos.
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    Valigarmander

    Valigarmander Creepy Mario Mod Staff Member Supporter

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    I for one am looking forward to not having to see a political ad every time I watch a Youtube video, turn on the TV, or open my mailbox.

    I hope things stay nonviolent today, during the voting and after the results are announced.
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    Bomby

    Bomby Employee of the Month for Oct. 2011 Staff Member

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    Happy national vetoing day!
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    CaptHayfever

    CaptHayfever Awesome Smash Bros Mod Staff Member

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    There was a long line this morning, the roads were wet, so I thought I'd be late to work....but those same long lines meant light traffic, & I actually had one of my smoothest commutes of the year, & got to work 15 minutes early! Thanks, controversial candidates! :smile:

    And remember, "I'm-a Luigi, number one!"
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    Booyakasha

    Booyakasha johnny-not-on-the-spot Staff Member

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    I'm voting the same way I always do----------abstention.
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    The Amazing Tazy Ten

    The Amazing Tazy Ten Happy Dingergisbar! Supporter

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    Was a little weird finding the place but I voted. Wasn't hard at all.

    Though they didn't allow you to pick your own candidate. It's only a shame because Vermin Supreme wasn't there. Oh well. No regrets from me.
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    I am nobody

    I am nobody I am not mean spam Staff Member

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    In other news, early results from a respected and highly scientific pollster show a commanding lead for a surprise third party candidate. It's easy to see why: their credentials for changing politics in Washington and defeating the country's enemies abroad are basically indisputable. As a bonus, they'll even make it much easier to give free college to everyone who's left.
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    ScottyMcGee

    ScottyMcGee Super Lab Tech

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    I'm going to play a marathon of Star Wars Battlefront online after I vote today, because nothing says celebrating Election Day 2016 like participating in the Galactic Civil War.
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    Sim Kid

    Sim Kid Well-Known Member

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    Not voting today

    because I already did it. :tongue: Early voting is a *****, huh.
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    Shane

    Shane Administrator Staff Member

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    Bush II and his wife voted for none of the above.

    If McMullin were on the ballot in more states, he could potentially play spoiler. Looks like the closest state he's playing in is Colorado.
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    CaptHayfever

    CaptHayfever Awesome Smash Bros Mod Staff Member

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    That's a bummer for McMullin; his most likely route to spoiler-hood was to win Utah, & only Utah.

    And remember, "I'm-a Luigi, number one!"
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    X-3

    X-3 The Wurst Member Staff Member

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    Valigarmander

    Valigarmander Creepy Mario Mod Staff Member Supporter

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    This is a much tighter race than expected.

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